Markets
Who wins the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
Khvicha Kvaratskhelia probability
Book overround+1.2%
The 8 listed outcomes sum to 101.2%, so the book is charging a margin — every listed price is short of its true chance.
Harry Kane+3.558%
Lamine Yamal21%
Kylian Mbappé-0.78.6%Rodri6.5%
Lionel Messi-0.42.8%
Khvicha Kvaratskhelia-0.62.0%Ousmane Dembélé+0.21.4%Fabian Ruiz-0.11.0%Book for Khvicha Kvaratskhelia · Yes
PriceContracts
9¢897
8¢3,269
7¢2,618
6¢6,001
5¢3,973
4¢2,630
Spread 3¢
1¢5,670
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Khvicha Kvaratskhelia
$
Avg price4.0¢
Contracts625
Taker fee · debited at fill$1.68
To win$625
Balance after$973.32
Simulated fill — no funds move. Contracts redeem at $1.00 if correct.
Operator · simulate outcome
Post a result to the engine. The winning contract settles at $1.00, the rest at $0.00, the complete sets backing this market are burned and the collateral they locked is released.