Private preview · simulated
Harry Kane58%
Lamine Yamal21%
Kylian Mbappé8.6%
Los Angeles Dodgers40%
New York Yankees9.5%
Milwaukee Brewers9.0%
Trade onwhat’s NEXT
Prediction markets on the economy, crypto, sports, politics and more — live prices, order books and a portfolio that tracks every position.
Enter the marketsEconomics6 live$17m
Fed hikes rates at September FOMC?What the Fed does next, as a probability rather than a take.
Yes 55%All economics
Live tape24 fills
Who wins Brazil's 2026 election?bought Ronaldo Caiado (PSD) · 1m1¢1,393Democrats retake the House in 2026?bought Yes · 1m84¢524GOP holds Senate majority in 2026?bought Yes · 1m56¢1,159Fed hikes rates at September FOMC?bought Yes · 1m55¢247Gold tops $5,000/oz before 2027?bought Yes · 1m23¢1,213Bitcoin hits $100K before 2027?bought No · 1m88¢1,191Ethereum tops $2,500 before 2027?bought Yes · 1m35¢2,399Who wins Super Bowl LXI?bought Baltimore Ravens · 1m10¢540Who wins the 2027 NBA Finals?sold San Antonio Spurs · 1m27¢418Who wins the 2026 F1 Drivers' Championship?bought Charles Leclerc · 1m5¢1,978Who wins the 2026 World Series?bought Houston Astros · 1m4¢1,828Who wins the 2027 Stanley Cup?bought Carolina Hurricanes · 1m9¢2,411Who wins the 2026 Ballon d'Or?bought Rodri · 1m7¢54What price will Solana hit in 2026?bought Falls below $40 · 1m20¢1,636What price will XRP hit in August 2026?bought Rises above $1.40 · 1m5¢1,686Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?bought No · 1m83¢506Crypto Market Structure legislation becomes law in 2026?bought Yes · 1m20¢502Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?bought 6 or lower · 1m1¢935Government shutdown by October 1?bought No · 1m78¢430Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?bought Yes · 1m2¢877Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?bought Yes · 1m14¢1,069Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?bought Yes · 1m15¢852When is a Russia–Ukraine ceasefire agreed?bought By Aug 31, 2026 · 1m4¢2,212Israel-Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by December 31, 2026?bought No · 1m44¢1,513
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Event contracts priced 1–99¢ that redeem at $1.00 on the winning outcome.
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Who wins the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
Harry Kane58%Lamine Yamal21%Kylian Mbappé8.6%+5 more outcomes
$27m Vol.Ends 31 Oct 2026
Who wins the 2026 World Series?
Los Angeles Dodgers40%New York Yankees9.5%Milwaukee Brewers9.0%+7 more outcomes
$38m Vol.Ends 31 Oct 2026
Avengers: Doomsday breaks opening record?
18%
+2.4$3.9m Vol.Ends 21 Dec 2026