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Who wins the 2026 Ballon d'Or?58%+3.5·Who wins the 2026 World Series?8.8%+2.8·Avengers: Doomsday breaks opening record?18%+2.4·Spider-Man: Brand New Day hits $2B worldwide?55%+1.8·Fed hikes rates at September FOMC?55%+1.5·Ethereum tops $2,500 before 2027?35%-1.4·GOP holds Senate majority in 2026?56%-1.2·Who wins the 2027 NBA Finals?9.1%+1.2·2026 Atlantic season: 10+ named storms?32%-1.2·Mayweather–Pacquiao 2 happens by Sept 20?52%-1.0·Democrats retake the House in 2026?86%+0.8·Bitcoin hits $100K before 2027?10%+0.8·Who wins the 2026 Ballon d'Or?58%+3.5·Who wins the 2026 World Series?8.8%+2.8·Avengers: Doomsday breaks opening record?18%+2.4·Spider-Man: Brand New Day hits $2B worldwide?55%+1.8·Fed hikes rates at September FOMC?55%+1.5·Ethereum tops $2,500 before 2027?35%-1.4·GOP holds Senate majority in 2026?56%-1.2·Who wins the 2027 NBA Finals?9.1%+1.2·2026 Atlantic season: 10+ named storms?32%-1.2·Mayweather–Pacquiao 2 happens by Sept 20?52%-1.0·Democrats retake the House in 2026?86%+0.8·Bitcoin hits $100K before 2027?10%+0.8·

Trending now

24h movement, weighted by book size

Who wins the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

58%+3.5
Sports

Who wins the 2026 World Series?

40%+0.0
Culture

Avengers: Doomsday breaks opening record?

18%+2.4
Culture

Spider-Man: Brand New Day hits $2B worldwide?

55%+1.8
Economics

Fed hikes rates at September FOMC?

55%+1.5
Crypto

Ethereum tops $2,500 before 2027?

35%-1.4
Sports

Who wins the 2027 NBA Finals?

28%-0.4
Politics

GOP holds Senate majority in 2026?

56%-1.2

Who wins the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

Harry KaneHarry Kane58%
Lamine YamalLamine Yamal21%
Kylian MbappéKylian Mbappé8.6%
+5 more outcomes
$27m Vol.·Ends 31 Oct 2026
Sports

Who wins the 2026 World Series?

Los Angeles DodgersLos Angeles Dodgers40%
New York YankeesNew York Yankees9.5%
Milwaukee BrewersMilwaukee Brewers9.0%
+7 more outcomes
$38m Vol.·Ends 31 Oct 2026
Culture

Avengers: Doomsday breaks opening record?

18%
+2.4
$3.9m Vol.·Ends 21 Dec 2026
Culture

Spider-Man: Brand New Day hits $2B worldwide?

55%
+1.8
$7.6m Vol.·Ends 31 Dec 2026
Economics

Fed hikes rates at September FOMC?

55%
+1.5
$12m Vol.·Ends 16 Sept 2026Ending soon
Crypto

Ethereum tops $2,500 before 2027?

35%
-1.4
$9.3m Vol.·Ends 1 Jan 2027
Sports

Who wins the 2027 NBA Finals?

Oklahoma City ThunderOklahoma City Thunder28%
San Antonio SpursSan Antonio Spurs26%
New York KnicksNew York Knicks11%
+1 more outcomes
$14m Vol.·Ends 20 Jun 2027
Politics

GOP holds Senate majority in 2026?

56%
-1.2
$3.6m Vol.·Ends 3 Nov 2026
Climate

2026 Atlantic season: 10+ named storms?

32%
-1.2
$1.7m Vol.·Ends 30 Nov 2026
Crypto

Bitcoin hits $100K before 2027?

10%
+0.8
$51m Vol.·Ends 1 Jan 2027
Politics

Democrats retake the House in 2026?

86%
+0.8
$9.0m Vol.·Ends 3 Nov 2026

Mayweather–Pacquiao 2 happens by Sept 20?

52%
-1.0
$120k Vol.·Ends 20 Sept 2026
World

Who wins Brazil's 2026 election?

Lula da Silva (PT)Lula da Silva (PT)65%
Flávio Bolsonaro (PL)Flávio Bolsonaro (PL)26%
Renan SantosRenan Santos7.2%
+1 more outcomes
$118m Vol.·Ends 25 Oct 2026

Who has the top AI model at year end?

AnthropicAnthropic71%
OpenAIOpenAI11%
GoogleGoogle8.0%
+2 more outcomes
$6.8m Vol.·Ends 31 Dec 2026

Who wins the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize?

Yulia NavalnayaYulia Navalnaya8.5%
Volodymyr ZelenskyyVolodymyr Zelenskyy6.9%
UNRWAUNRWA4.7%
+3 more outcomes
$2.4m Vol.·Ends 10 Oct 2026
Sports

Who wins Super Bowl LXI?

Los Angeles RamsLos Angeles Rams17%
Buffalo BillsBuffalo Bills9.1%
Baltimore RavensBaltimore Ravens8.3%
+2 more outcomes
$21m Vol.·Ends 14 Feb 2027
Sports

Who wins the 2027 Stanley Cup?

Florida PanthersFlorida Panthers12%
Carolina HurricanesCarolina Hurricanes9.5%
Colorado AvalancheColorado Avalanche9.5%
+7 more outcomes
$465k Vol.·Ends 1 Jul 2027

Gold tops $5,000/oz before 2027?

22%
+0.3
$4.1m Vol.·Ends 31 Dec 2026
Tech

Apple unveils iPhone Fold by Sept 30?

85%
+0.2
$5.2m Vol.·Ends 30 Sept 2026Ending soon
Sports

Who wins the 2026 F1 Drivers' Championship?

Kimi AntonelliKimi Antonelli74%
Lewis HamiltonLewis Hamilton10%
George RussellGeorge Russell5.5%
+3 more outcomes
$201m Vol.·Ends 6 Dec 2026
Crypto

What price will Solana hit in 2026?

Falls below $6067%
Falls below $4022%
Falls below $208.5%
+2 more outcomes
$1.2m Vol.·Ends 1 Jan 2027
Crypto

What price will XRP hit in August 2026?

Falls below $1.0065%
Falls below $0.806.5%
Rises above $1.404.5%
+2 more outcomes
$173k Vol.·Ends 1 Sept 2026
Crypto

Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?

17%
$4.9m Vol.·Ends 1 Jan 2027
Crypto

Crypto Market Structure legislation becomes law in 2026?

21%
$3k Vol.·Ends 31 Dec 2026
Climate

Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?

164%
228%
32.4%
+3 more outcomes
$3.3m Vol.·Ends 31 Dec 2026
Politics

Government shutdown by October 1?

24%
$4k Vol.·Ends 2 Oct 2026
Politics

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

3.9%
$39m Vol.·Ends 31 Dec 2026
Politics

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

16%
$57m Vol.·Ends 31 Dec 2026
Politics

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?

16%
$8.0m Vol.·Ends 31 Aug 2026
World

When is a Russia–Ukraine ceasefire agreed?

By Dec 31, 202635%
By Oct 31, 202615%
By Aug 31, 20263.5%
$5.8m Vol.·Ends 31 Dec 2026
World

Israel-Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by December 31, 2026?

56%
$2.9m Vol.·Ends 31 Dec 2026
World

Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?

4.0%
$18m Vol.·Ends 31 Dec 2026
World

New pandemic in 2026?

6.5%
$997k Vol.·Ends 31 Dec 2026
Tech

How many SpaceX Starship launches reach space in 2026?

5-660%
<533%
7-85.1%
+3 more outcomes
$491k Vol.·Ends 31 Dec 2026

Human moon landing in 2026?

1.8%
$2.0m Vol.·Ends 31 Dec 2026
Tech

When do two Starships first dock in orbit?

By December 31, 202761%
By December 31, 202613%
$59k Vol.·Ends 31 Dec 2028
Culture

Billboard Hot 100 #1 Song, Week of August 15?

Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley96%
hate that i made you love me - Ariana Grande3.3%
Petal - Ariana Grande2.9%
+2 more outcomes
$9k Vol.·Ends 11 Aug 2026
Culture

Top Spotify Album 2026?

Arirang - BTS12%
The Romantic - Bruno Mars3.4%
Dandelion - Ella Langley2.9%
+3 more outcomes
$56k Vol.·Ends 31 Dec 2026
Culture

Which artists will release new albums in 2026?

Kanye West100%
Drake100%
Future100%
+3 more outcomes
$219k Vol.·Ends 31 Dec 2026
Economics

Core CPI MoM for July 2026?

0.2%55%
0.1%27%
0.3%15%
+3 more outcomes
$93k Vol.·Ends 12 Aug 2026
Economics

July 2026 US annual inflation (CPI YoY)?

3.4%45%
3.3%31%
3.5%17%
+3 more outcomes
$354k Vol.·Ends 12 Aug 2026
Economics

How high will US unemployment go in 2026?

≥5.0%10%
≥6.0%10%
≥7.0%8.0%
+1 more outcomes
$477k Vol.·Ends 31 Dec 2026
Economics

How many jobs added in July 2026 (nonfarm payrolls)?

50k–100k48%
0–50k26%
100k–150k15%
+3 more outcomes
$27k Vol.·Ends 7 Aug 2026
Sports

Makhachev beats Machado Garry at UFC 330?

Islam MakhachevIslam Makhachev75%
Ian Machado GarryIan Machado Garry26%
$22k Vol.·Ends 16 Aug 2026
Sports

Dern beats Robertson at UFC 330?

Mackenzie DernMackenzie Dern69%
Gillian RobertsonGillian Robertson32%
$507 Vol.·Ends 16 Aug 2026
Sports

Who wins the 2026–27 Premier League?

ArsenalArsenal37%
Manchester CityManchester City28%
LiverpoolLiverpool13%
+4 more outcomes
$4.5m Vol.·Ends 30 May 2027

Geopolitical flashpoints

3 markets · 3 live

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?16%
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?3.9%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?16%
$104m Vol.

Ceasefire watch

2 markets · 2 live

When is a Russia–Ukraine ceasefire agreed?35%
Israel-Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by December 31, 2026?56%
$8.7m Vol.
Economics

US economy · the prints

5 markets · 5 live

Fed hikes rates at September FOMC?55%
How high will US unemployment go in 2026?10%
July 2026 US annual inflation (CPI YoY)?45%
$13m Vol.

The space race · 2026

3 markets · 3 live

Human moon landing in 2026?1.8%
How many SpaceX Starship launches reach space in 2026?60%
When do two Starships first dock in orbit?61%
$2.5m Vol.

Title races, every league

6 markets · 6 live

Who wins the 2026 F1 Drivers' Championship?74%
Who wins the 2026 World Series?40%
Who wins Super Bowl LXI?17%
$279m Vol.
Politics

2026 U.S. Midterms

2 markets · 2 live

Democrats retake the House in 2026?86%
GOP holds Senate majority in 2026?56%
$13m Vol.
Crypto

Crypto price targets · 2026

2 markets · 2 live

Bitcoin hits $100K before 2027?10%
Ethereum tops $2,500 before 2027?35%
$61m Vol.

Road to the title · 2026-27

2 markets · 2 live

Who wins Super Bowl LXI?17%
Who wins the 2027 NBA Finals?28%
$35m Vol.

AI & hardware race · 2026

2 markets · 2 live

Who has the top AI model at year end?71%
Apple unveils iPhone Fold by Sept 30?85%
$12m Vol.

2026 box-office race

2 markets · 2 live

Spider-Man: Brand New Day hits $2B worldwide?55%
Avengers: Doomsday breaks opening record?18%
$12m Vol.

Browse by category

46 live markets
Economics
6 markets
Crypto
6 markets
Sports
10 markets
Politics
6 markets
Tech
5 markets
Climate
2 markets
Culture
5 markets
World
6 markets

Settled

Paid out at $1.00 · 2 markets
Sports

Spain wins the 2026 World Cup final?

Resolved · Spain
$128m Vol.·Settled 19 Jul 2026

Sinner wins 2026 Wimbledon?

Resolved · Jannik Sinner
$9.5m Vol.·Settled 12 Jul 2026

Photography: Politics by Gage Skidmore, CC BY-SA 3.0 · Sports by FightingRaven531, CC BY 3.0 · World by Mojnsen, CC BY-SA 4.0 · Lula da Silva by Palácio do Planalto, CC BY 2.0 · Flávio Bolsonaro by Agência Senado, Attribution · Ronaldo Caiado by Senado Federal, Attribution · Renan Santos by Joao.maestro2023, CC BY-SA 4.0. Remaining plates are public domain (US federal works) or generated.