Markets
Who wins the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
Kylian Mbappé probability
Book overround+1.2%
The 8 listed outcomes sum to 101.2%, so the book is charging a margin — every listed price is short of its true chance.
Harry Kane+3.558%
Lamine Yamal21%
Kylian Mbappé-0.78.6%Rodri6.5%
Lionel Messi-0.42.8%
Khvicha Kvaratskhelia-0.62.0%Ousmane Dembélé+0.21.4%Fabian Ruiz-0.11.0%Book for Kylian Mbappé · Yes
PriceContracts
16¢1,226
15¢2,715
14¢4,378
13¢3,188
12¢2,916
11¢12,643
Spread 3¢
8¢7,002
7¢12,535
6¢1,966
5¢6,558
4¢4,422
3¢5,340
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Kylian Mbappé
$
Avg price11.0¢
Contracts227.3
Taker fee · debited at fill$1.56
To win$227.27
Balance after$973.44
Simulated fill — no funds move. Contracts redeem at $1.00 if correct.
Operator · simulate outcome
Post a result to the engine. The winning contract settles at $1.00, the rest at $0.00, the complete sets backing this market are burned and the collateral they locked is released.