Petal - Ariana Grande probability
Book overround+2.4%
The 5 listed outcomes sum to 102.4%, so the book is charging a margin — every listed price is short of its true chance.
Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley96%
hate that i made you love me - Ariana Grande3.3%
Petal - Ariana Grande2.9%
Been By Now - Morgan Wallen0.1%
I Knew It, I Knew You - Taylor Swift0.1%
Book for Petal - Ariana Grande · Yes
PriceContracts
10¢3,401
9¢1,682
8¢5,744
7¢2,909
6¢8,002
5¢3,841
Spread 3¢
2¢2,381
1¢12,108
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Petal - Ariana Grande
$
Avg price5.0¢
Contracts500
Taker fee · debited at fill$1.66
To win$500
Balance after$973.34
Simulated fill — no funds move. Contracts redeem at $1.00 if correct.
Operator · simulate outcome
Post a result to the engine. The winning contract settles at $1.00, the rest at $0.00, the complete sets backing this market are burned and the collateral they locked is released.