Justin Bieber probability
Book overround+356.5%
The 6 listed outcomes sum to 456.5%, so the book is charging a margin — every listed price is short of its true chance.
Kanye West100%
Drake100%
Future100%
Lana Del Rey65%
Lil Uzi Vert52%
Justin Bieber41%
Book for Justin Bieber · Yes
PriceContracts
47¢3,502
46¢5,270
45¢2,027
44¢7,797
43¢8,176
42¢8,725
Spread 2¢
40¢11,117
39¢11,265
38¢4,196
37¢4,979
36¢6,116
35¢5,490
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Justin Bieber
$
Avg price42.0¢
Contracts59.5
Taker fee · debited at fill$1.02
To win$59.52
Balance after$973.99
Simulated fill — no funds move. Contracts redeem at $1.00 if correct.
Operator · simulate outcome
Post a result to the engine. The winning contract settles at $1.00, the rest at $0.00, the complete sets backing this market are burned and the collateral they locked is released.