Lana Del Rey probability
Book overround+356.5%
The 6 listed outcomes sum to 456.5%, so the book is charging a margin — every listed price is short of its true chance.
Kanye West100%
Drake100%
Future100%
Lana Del Rey65%
Lil Uzi Vert52%
Justin Bieber41%
Book for Lana Del Rey · Yes
PriceContracts
71¢5,210
70¢6,448
69¢1,765
68¢2,710
67¢2,689
66¢4,519
Spread 2¢
64¢13,880
63¢9,214
62¢10,159
61¢5,569
60¢2,907
59¢3,718
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Lana Del Rey
$
Avg price66.0¢
Contracts37.9
Taker fee · debited at fill$0.59
To win$37.88
Balance after$974.41
Simulated fill — no funds move. Contracts redeem at $1.00 if correct.
Operator · simulate outcome
Post a result to the engine. The winning contract settles at $1.00, the rest at $0.00, the complete sets backing this market are burned and the collateral they locked is released.