Lil Uzi Vert probability
Book overround+356.5%
The 6 listed outcomes sum to 456.5%, so the book is charging a margin — every listed price is short of its true chance.
Kanye West100%
Drake100%
Future100%
Lana Del Rey65%
Lil Uzi Vert52%
Justin Bieber41%
Book for Lil Uzi Vert · Yes
PriceContracts
58¢2,775
57¢4,336
56¢6,401
55¢5,613
54¢9,096
53¢6,449
Spread 2¢
51¢3,661
50¢10,840
49¢3,717
48¢8,176
47¢1,341
46¢5,420
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Lil Uzi Vert
$
Avg price53.0¢
Contracts47.2
Taker fee · debited at fill$0.82
To win$47.17
Balance after$974.18
Simulated fill — no funds move. Contracts redeem at $1.00 if correct.
Operator · simulate outcome
Post a result to the engine. The winning contract settles at $1.00, the rest at $0.00, the complete sets backing this market are burned and the collateral they locked is released.