Iceman - Drake probability
The field77.8%
The 6 listed outcomes sum to 22.2%. The remaining 77.8% is the chance the winner is nobody on this list.
Arirang - BTS12%
The Romantic - Bruno Mars3.4%
Dandelion - Ella Langley2.9%
Iceman - Drake2.6%
Cloud 9 - Megan Moroney0.7%
You Seem Pretty Sad for a Girl So in Love - Olivia Rodrigo0.6%
Book for Iceman - Drake · Yes
PriceContracts
10¢6,088
9¢7,773
8¢6,416
7¢6,340
6¢4,388
5¢12,498
Spread 3¢
2¢13,709
1¢5,724
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Iceman - Drake
$
Avg price5.0¢
Contracts500
Taker fee · debited at fill$1.66
To win$500
Balance after$973.34
Simulated fill — no funds move. Contracts redeem at $1.00 if correct.
Operator · simulate outcome
Post a result to the engine. The winning contract settles at $1.00, the rest at $0.00, the complete sets backing this market are burned and the collateral they locked is released.