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Who wins the 2026 Ballon d'Or?58%+3.5·Who wins the 2026 World Series?8.8%+2.8·Avengers: Doomsday breaks opening record?18%+2.4·Spider-Man: Brand New Day hits $2B worldwide?55%+1.8·Fed hikes rates at September FOMC?55%+1.5·Ethereum tops $2,500 before 2027?35%-1.4·GOP holds Senate majority in 2026?56%-1.2·Who wins the 2027 NBA Finals?9.1%+1.2·2026 Atlantic season: 10+ named storms?32%-1.2·Mayweather–Pacquiao 2 happens by Sept 20?52%-1.0·Democrats retake the House in 2026?86%+0.8·Bitcoin hits $100K before 2027?10%+0.8·Who wins the 2026 Ballon d'Or?58%+3.5·Who wins the 2026 World Series?8.8%+2.8·Avengers: Doomsday breaks opening record?18%+2.4·Spider-Man: Brand New Day hits $2B worldwide?55%+1.8·Fed hikes rates at September FOMC?55%+1.5·Ethereum tops $2,500 before 2027?35%-1.4·GOP holds Senate majority in 2026?56%-1.2·Who wins the 2027 NBA Finals?9.1%+1.2·2026 Atlantic season: 10+ named storms?32%-1.2·Mayweather–Pacquiao 2 happens by Sept 20?52%-1.0·Democrats retake the House in 2026?86%+0.8·Bitcoin hits $100K before 2027?10%+0.8·
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Culture

5
Live markets
$12m
Volume
Box office2Awards1Music3
Billboard Hot 100 #1 Song, Week of August 15?5 contenders · American odds
1Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley−23691.0496%96¢
2hate that i made you love me - Ariana Grande+293030.303.3%3¢
3Petal - Ariana Grande+340935.092.9%3¢
4Been By Now - Morgan Wallen+66567666.670.1%0¢
5I Knew It, I Knew You - Taylor Swift+66567666.670.1%0¢
Top Spotify Album 2026?6 contenders · American odds
1Arirang - BTS+7338.3312%12¢
2The Romantic - Bruno Mars+284129.413.4%3¢
3Dandelion - Ella Langley+334834.482.9%3¢
4Iceman - Drake+367437.742.6%3¢
5Cloud 9 - Megan Moroney+15285153.850.7%1¢
6You Seem Pretty Sad for a Girl So in Love - Olivia Rodrigo+16567166.670.6%1¢
The field — anyone not listed−3501.2978%78¢
Which artists will release new albums in 2026?6 contenders · American odds
1Kanye West—1.00100%100¢
2Drake—1.00100%100¢
3Future—1.00100%100¢
4Lana Del Rey−1821.5565%65¢
5Lil Uzi Vert−1061.9452%52¢
6Justin Bieber+1472.4741%41¢
Culture

Billboard Hot 100 #1 Song, Week of August 15?

Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley96%
hate that i made you love me - Ariana Grande3.3%
Petal - Ariana Grande2.9%
+2 more outcomes
$9k Vol.·Ends 11 Aug 2026
Culture

Top Spotify Album 2026?

Arirang - BTS12%
The Romantic - Bruno Mars3.4%
Dandelion - Ella Langley2.9%
+3 more outcomes
$56k Vol.·Ends 31 Dec 2026
Culture

Which artists will release new albums in 2026?

Kanye West100%
Drake100%
Future100%
+3 more outcomes
$219k Vol.·Ends 31 Dec 2026

Photography: Politics by Gage Skidmore, CC BY-SA 3.0 · Sports by FightingRaven531, CC BY 3.0 · World by Mojnsen, CC BY-SA 4.0 · Lula da Silva by Palácio do Planalto, CC BY 2.0 · Flávio Bolsonaro by Agência Senado, Attribution · Ronaldo Caiado by Senado Federal, Attribution · Renan Santos by Joao.maestro2023, CC BY-SA 4.0. Remaining plates are public domain (US federal works) or generated.