Who wins the 2026 Ballon d'Or?58%+3.5Who wins the 2026 World Series?8.8%+2.8Avengers: Doomsday breaks opening record?18%+2.4Spider-Man: Brand New Day hits $2B worldwide?55%+1.8Fed hikes rates at September FOMC?55%+1.5Ethereum tops $2,500 before 2027?35%-1.4GOP holds Senate majority in 2026?56%-1.2Who wins the 2027 NBA Finals?9.1%+1.22026 Atlantic season: 10+ named storms?32%-1.2Mayweather–Pacquiao 2 happens by Sept 20?52%-1.0Democrats retake the House in 2026?86%+0.8Bitcoin hits $100K before 2027?10%+0.8Who wins the 2026 Ballon d'Or?58%+3.5Who wins the 2026 World Series?8.8%+2.8Avengers: Doomsday breaks opening record?18%+2.4Spider-Man: Brand New Day hits $2B worldwide?55%+1.8Fed hikes rates at September FOMC?55%+1.5Ethereum tops $2,500 before 2027?35%-1.4GOP holds Senate majority in 2026?56%-1.2Who wins the 2027 NBA Finals?9.1%+1.22026 Atlantic season: 10+ named storms?32%-1.2Mayweather–Pacquiao 2 happens by Sept 20?52%-1.0Democrats retake the House in 2026?86%+0.8Bitcoin hits $100K before 2027?10%+0.8
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Who wins the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize?6 contenders · American odds
1
Yulia Navalnaya+10768.5%2
Volodymyr Zelenskyy+13496.9%3
UNRWA+20284.7%4
Pope Leo XIV+29303.3%5
Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani+33482.9%6
Donald Trump+40672.4%
Yulia Navalnaya+10768.5%2Volodymyr Zelenskyy+13496.9%3UNRWA+20284.7%4Pope Leo XIV+29303.3%5Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani+33482.9%6Donald Trump+40672.4%The field — anyone not listed−2481.4071%71¢
Photography: Politics by Gage Skidmore, CC BY-SA 3.0 · Sports by FightingRaven531, CC BY 3.0 · World by Mojnsen, CC BY-SA 4.0 · Lula da Silva by Palácio do Planalto, CC BY 2.0 · Flávio Bolsonaro by Agência Senado, Attribution · Ronaldo Caiado by Senado Federal, Attribution · Renan Santos by Joao.maestro2023, CC BY-SA 4.0. Remaining plates are public domain (US federal works) or generated.