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Markets
World

Who wins Brazil's 2026 election?

Live · simulated$118m Vol. Ends 25 Oct 2026 Tribunal Superior Eleitoral (TSE) official resultsWorld elections brazil latam
Ronaldo Caiado (PSD) probability
Lula da Silva (PT)Lula da Silva (PT)+0.465%
Flávio Bolsonaro (PL)Flávio Bolsonaro (PL)-0.626%
Renan SantosRenan Santos+0.27.2%
Ronaldo Caiado (PSD)Ronaldo Caiado (PSD)-0.11.2%

Book for Ronaldo Caiado (PSD) · Yes

PriceContracts
8¢1,019
7¢7,616
6¢7,867
5¢4,443
4¢9,090
3¢9,170
Spread 2¢

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Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?

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Ronaldo Caiado (PSD)
$
Avg price3.0¢
Contracts833.3
Taker fee · debited at fill$1.70
To win$833.33
Balance after$973.3

Simulated fill — no funds move. Contracts redeem at $1.00 if correct.

Operator · simulate outcome

Post a result to the engine. The winning contract settles at $1.00, the rest at $0.00, the complete sets backing this market are burned and the collateral they locked is released.