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Markets
World

Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?

Live · simulated$18m Vol. Ends 31 Dec 2026 Official WHO statements, reports, or press briefings.World health who
4.0%
Yes probability
PriceContracts
11¢5,071
10¢3,235
9¢5,887
8¢8,566
7¢2,056
6¢9,603
Spread 3¢
3¢11,059
2¢10,463
1¢3,413

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World

New pandemic in 2026?

6.5%
$997k Vol.·Ends 31 Dec 2026
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Who wins Brazil's 2026 election?

Lula da Silva (PT)Lula da Silva (PT)65%
Flávio Bolsonaro (PL)Flávio Bolsonaro (PL)26%
Renan SantosRenan Santos7.2%
+1 more outcomes
$118m Vol.·Ends 25 Oct 2026
World

When is a Russia–Ukraine ceasefire agreed?

By Dec 31, 202635%
By Oct 31, 202615%
By Aug 31, 20263.5%
$5.8m Vol.·Ends 31 Dec 2026
$
Avg price6.0¢
Contracts416.7
Taker fee · debited at fill$1.65
To win$416.67
Balance after$973.36

Simulated fill — no funds move. Contracts redeem at $1.00 if correct.

Operator · simulate outcome

Post a result to the engine. The winning contract settles at $1.00, the rest at $0.00, the complete sets backing this market are burned and the collateral they locked is released.