Markets
Human moon landing in 2026?
Live · simulated$2.0m Vol. Ends 31 Dec 2026 A consensus of credible reporting on any crewed lunar touchdown, per Polymarket market rules.Tech space spacexThe space race · 2026
1.8%
Yes probability
PriceContracts
9¢4,074
8¢2,282
7¢7,244
6¢5,744
5¢10,696
4¢6,626
Spread 3¢
1¢7,044
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$
Avg price4.0¢
Contracts625
Taker fee · debited at fill$1.68
To win$625
Balance after$973.32
Simulated fill — no funds move. Contracts redeem at $1.00 if correct.
Operator · simulate outcome
Post a result to the engine. The winning contract settles at $1.00, the rest at $0.00, the complete sets backing this market are burned and the collateral they locked is released.