Markets
Who has the top AI model at year end?
Live · simulated$6.8m Vol. Ends 31 Dec 2026 LMArena / Chatbot Arena leaderboardTech ai llm-raceAI & hardware race · 2026
Anthropic probability
The field1.5%
The 5 listed outcomes sum to 98.5%. The remaining 1.5% is the chance the winner is nobody on this list.
Anthropic+0.571%
OpenAI-0.311%
Google+0.28.0%
DeepSeek+0.14.5%
xAI-0.24.0%Book for Anthropic · Yes
PriceContracts
77¢1,701
76¢6,376
75¢6,637
74¢9,566
73¢4,198
72¢11,010
Spread 2¢
70¢6,981
69¢4,611
68¢3,023
67¢6,524
66¢4,388
65¢6,051
Anthropic
$
Avg price72.0¢
Contracts34.7
Taker fee · debited at fill$0.49
To win$34.72
Balance after$974.51
Simulated fill — no funds move. Contracts redeem at $1.00 if correct.
Operator · simulate outcome
Post a result to the engine. The winning contract settles at $1.00, the rest at $0.00, the complete sets backing this market are burned and the collateral they locked is released.