Markets
How many jobs added in July 2026 (nonfarm payrolls)?
Live · simulated$27k Vol. Ends 7 Aug 2026 BLS Employment Situation Report (bls.gov/bls/news-release/empsit.htm), scheduled for release Aug 7, 2026.Economics jobs unemploymentUS economy · the prints
50k–100k probability
Book overround+10.3%
The 6 listed outcomes sum to 110.3%, so the book is charging a margin — every listed price is short of its true chance.
50k–100k48%
0–50k26%
100k–150k15%
<012%
150k–200k9.5%
200k+0.5%
Book for 50k–100k · Yes
PriceContracts
54¢5,542
53¢2,098
52¢7,778
51¢8,408
50¢3,899
49¢9,702
Spread 2¢
47¢7,109
46¢8,900
45¢9,990
44¢7,926
43¢7,356
42¢4,382
50k–100k
$
Avg price49.0¢
Contracts51
Taker fee · debited at fill$0.89
To win$51.02
Balance after$974.11
Simulated fill — no funds move. Contracts redeem at $1.00 if correct.
Operator · simulate outcome
Post a result to the engine. The winning contract settles at $1.00, the rest at $0.00, the complete sets backing this market are burned and the collateral they locked is released.