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Simulated preview — no real money.About·Terms·Verify the books

Markets
Economics

How many jobs added in July 2026 (nonfarm payrolls)?

Live · simulated$27k Vol. Ends 7 Aug 2026 BLS Employment Situation Report (bls.gov/bls/news-release/empsit.htm), scheduled for release Aug 7, 2026.Economics jobs unemploymentUS economy · the prints
<0 probability
Book overround+10.3%

The 6 listed outcomes sum to 110.3%, so the book is charging a margin — every listed price is short of its true chance.

50k–100k48%
0–50k26%
100k–150k15%
<012%
150k–200k9.5%
200k+0.5%

Book for <0 · Yes

PriceContracts
18¢4,204
17¢6,387
16¢5,687
15¢6,141
14¢5,443
13¢1,923
Spread 2¢
11¢6,179
10¢2,082
9¢7,006
8¢4,176
7¢5,690
6¢1,412

Related markets

Economics

How high will US unemployment go in 2026?

≥5.0%10%
≥6.0%10%
≥7.0%8.0%
+1 more outcomes
$477k Vol.·Ends 31 Dec 2026
Economics

Fed hikes rates at September FOMC?

55%
+1.5
$12m Vol.·Ends 16 Sept 2026Ending soon

Gold tops $5,000/oz before 2027?

22%
+0.3
$4.1m Vol.·Ends 31 Dec 2026
<0
$
Avg price13.0¢
Contracts192.3
Taker fee · debited at fill$1.52
To win$192.31
Balance after$973.48

Simulated fill — no funds move. Contracts redeem at $1.00 if correct.

Operator · simulate outcome

Post a result to the engine. The winning contract settles at $1.00, the rest at $0.00, the complete sets backing this market are burned and the collateral they locked is released.