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Simulated preview — no real money.About·Terms·Verify the books

Markets
Economics

How many jobs added in July 2026 (nonfarm payrolls)?

Live · simulated$27k Vol. Ends 7 Aug 2026 BLS Employment Situation Report (bls.gov/bls/news-release/empsit.htm), scheduled for release Aug 7, 2026.Economics jobs unemploymentUS economy · the prints
0–50k probability
Book overround+10.3%

The 6 listed outcomes sum to 110.3%, so the book is charging a margin — every listed price is short of its true chance.

50k–100k48%
0–50k26%
100k–150k15%
<012%
150k–200k9.5%
200k+0.5%

Book for 0–50k · Yes

PriceContracts
32¢4,597
31¢4,531
30¢3,117
29¢10,759
28¢9,602
27¢4,637
Spread 2¢
25¢1,901
24¢8,509
23¢5,168
22¢3,135
21¢6,954
20¢3,379

Related markets

Economics

How high will US unemployment go in 2026?

≥5.0%10%
≥6.0%10%
≥7.0%8.0%
+1 more outcomes
$477k Vol.·Ends 31 Dec 2026
Economics

Fed hikes rates at September FOMC?

55%
+1.5
$12m Vol.·Ends 16 Sept 2026Ending soon

Gold tops $5,000/oz before 2027?

22%
+0.3
$4.1m Vol.·Ends 31 Dec 2026
0–50k
$
Avg price27.0¢
Contracts92.6
Taker fee · debited at fill$1.28
To win$92.59
Balance after$973.72

Simulated fill — no funds move. Contracts redeem at $1.00 if correct.

Operator · simulate outcome

Post a result to the engine. The winning contract settles at $1.00, the rest at $0.00, the complete sets backing this market are burned and the collateral they locked is released.