Markets
How many jobs added in July 2026 (nonfarm payrolls)?
Live · simulated$27k Vol. Ends 7 Aug 2026 BLS Employment Situation Report (bls.gov/bls/news-release/empsit.htm), scheduled for release Aug 7, 2026.Economics jobs unemploymentUS economy · the prints
100k–150k probability
Book overround+10.3%
The 6 listed outcomes sum to 110.3%, so the book is charging a margin — every listed price is short of its true chance.
50k–100k48%
0–50k26%
100k–150k15%
<012%
150k–200k9.5%
200k+0.5%
Book for 100k–150k · Yes
PriceContracts
21¢1,213
20¢5,518
19¢3,018
18¢9,269
17¢5,031
16¢5,561
Spread 2¢
14¢7,610
13¢11,414
12¢6,157
11¢6,723
10¢4,977
9¢1,883
100k–150k
$
Avg price16.0¢
Contracts156.3
Taker fee · debited at fill$1.47
To win$156.25
Balance after$973.53
Simulated fill — no funds move. Contracts redeem at $1.00 if correct.
Operator · simulate outcome
Post a result to the engine. The winning contract settles at $1.00, the rest at $0.00, the complete sets backing this market are burned and the collateral they locked is released.