Markets
How many jobs added in July 2026 (nonfarm payrolls)?
Live · simulated$27k Vol. Ends 7 Aug 2026 BLS Employment Situation Report (bls.gov/bls/news-release/empsit.htm), scheduled for release Aug 7, 2026.Economics jobs unemploymentUS economy · the prints
150k–200k probability
Book overround+10.3%
The 6 listed outcomes sum to 110.3%, so the book is charging a margin — every listed price is short of its true chance.
50k–100k48%
0–50k26%
100k–150k15%
<012%
150k–200k9.5%
200k+0.5%
Book for 150k–200k · Yes
PriceContracts
16¢2,766
15¢4,735
14¢3,997
13¢3,238
12¢4,899
11¢11,451
Spread 2¢
9¢9,707
8¢8,048
7¢4,791
6¢8,637
5¢5,544
4¢5,307
150k–200k
$
Avg price11.0¢
Contracts227.3
Taker fee · debited at fill$1.56
To win$227.27
Balance after$973.44
Simulated fill — no funds move. Contracts redeem at $1.00 if correct.
Operator · simulate outcome
Post a result to the engine. The winning contract settles at $1.00, the rest at $0.00, the complete sets backing this market are burned and the collateral they locked is released.