Markets
Who has the top AI model at year end?
Live · simulated$6.8m Vol. Ends 31 Dec 2026 LMArena / Chatbot Arena leaderboardTech ai llm-raceAI & hardware race · 2026
DeepSeek probability
The field1.5%
The 5 listed outcomes sum to 98.5%. The remaining 1.5% is the chance the winner is nobody on this list.
Anthropic+0.571%
OpenAI-0.311%
Google+0.28.0%
DeepSeek+0.14.5%
xAI-0.24.0%Book for DeepSeek · Yes
PriceContracts
12¢3,348
11¢6,786
10¢2,978
9¢2,348
8¢4,341
7¢10,694
Spread 3¢
4¢2,210
3¢2,836
2¢4,112
1¢8,049
DeepSeek
$
Avg price7.0¢
Contracts357.1
Taker fee · debited at fill$1.63
To win$357.14
Balance after$973.37
Simulated fill — no funds move. Contracts redeem at $1.00 if correct.
Operator · simulate outcome
Post a result to the engine. The winning contract settles at $1.00, the rest at $0.00, the complete sets backing this market are burned and the collateral they locked is released.