Who wins the 2026 Ballon d'Or?58%+3.5Who wins the 2026 World Series?8.8%+2.8Avengers: Doomsday breaks opening record?18%+2.4Spider-Man: Brand New Day hits $2B worldwide?55%+1.8Fed hikes rates at September FOMC?55%+1.5Ethereum tops $2,500 before 2027?35%-1.4GOP holds Senate majority in 2026?56%-1.2Who wins the 2027 NBA Finals?9.1%+1.22026 Atlantic season: 10+ named storms?32%-1.2Mayweather–Pacquiao 2 happens by Sept 20?52%-1.0Democrats retake the House in 2026?86%+0.8Bitcoin hits $100K before 2027?10%+0.8Who wins the 2026 Ballon d'Or?58%+3.5Who wins the 2026 World Series?8.8%+2.8Avengers: Doomsday breaks opening record?18%+2.4Spider-Man: Brand New Day hits $2B worldwide?55%+1.8Fed hikes rates at September FOMC?55%+1.5Ethereum tops $2,500 before 2027?35%-1.4GOP holds Senate majority in 2026?56%-1.2Who wins the 2027 NBA Finals?9.1%+1.22026 Atlantic season: 10+ named storms?32%-1.2Mayweather–Pacquiao 2 happens by Sept 20?52%-1.0Democrats retake the House in 2026?86%+0.8Bitcoin hits $100K before 2027?10%+0.8
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Politics
6
Live markets
$117m
Volume
Combo builder
Priced off the live book — no quote request, no waitingDemocrats retake the House in 2026?
Yes
GOP holds Senate majority in 2026?
Yes
Government shutdown by October 1?
Yes
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Yes
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Yes
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?
Yes
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Photography: Politics by Gage Skidmore, CC BY-SA 3.0 · Sports by FightingRaven531, CC BY 3.0 · World by Mojnsen, CC BY-SA 4.0 · Lula da Silva by Palácio do Planalto, CC BY 2.0 · Flávio Bolsonaro by Agência Senado, Attribution · Ronaldo Caiado by Senado Federal, Attribution · Renan Santos by Joao.maestro2023, CC BY-SA 4.0. Remaining plates are public domain (US federal works) or generated.