Markets
Government shutdown by October 1?
Live · simulated$4k Vol. Ends 2 Oct 2026 Official U.S. Office of Personnel Management (OPM) operating-status notices and OMB shutdown directives.Politics legislation policy
24%
Yes probability
PriceContracts
30¢2,421
29¢7,102
28¢9,243
27¢10,550
26¢5,143
25¢1,903
Spread 2¢
23¢2,432
22¢6,860
21¢9,575
20¢3,961
19¢1,605
18¢6,041
$
Avg price25.0¢
Contracts100
Taker fee · debited at fill$1.31
To win$100
Balance after$973.69
Simulated fill — no funds move. Contracts redeem at $1.00 if correct.
Operator · simulate outcome
Post a result to the engine. The winning contract settles at $1.00, the rest at $0.00, the complete sets backing this market are burned and the collateral they locked is released.