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Who wins the 2026 Ballon d'Or?58%+3.5·Who wins the 2026 World Series?8.8%+2.8·Avengers: Doomsday breaks opening record?18%+2.4·Spider-Man: Brand New Day hits $2B worldwide?55%+1.8·Fed hikes rates at September FOMC?55%+1.5·Ethereum tops $2,500 before 2027?35%-1.4·GOP holds Senate majority in 2026?56%-1.2·Who wins the 2027 NBA Finals?9.1%+1.2·2026 Atlantic season: 10+ named storms?32%-1.2·Mayweather–Pacquiao 2 happens by Sept 20?52%-1.0·Democrats retake the House in 2026?86%+0.8·Bitcoin hits $100K before 2027?10%+0.8·Who wins the 2026 Ballon d'Or?58%+3.5·Who wins the 2026 World Series?8.8%+2.8·Avengers: Doomsday breaks opening record?18%+2.4·Spider-Man: Brand New Day hits $2B worldwide?55%+1.8·Fed hikes rates at September FOMC?55%+1.5·Ethereum tops $2,500 before 2027?35%-1.4·GOP holds Senate majority in 2026?56%-1.2·Who wins the 2027 NBA Finals?9.1%+1.2·2026 Atlantic season: 10+ named storms?32%-1.2·Mayweather–Pacquiao 2 happens by Sept 20?52%-1.0·Democrats retake the House in 2026?86%+0.8·Bitcoin hits $100K before 2027?10%+0.8·
All markets

Tech

5
Live markets
$15m
Volume
AI1Hardware1Space3
How many SpaceX Starship launches reach space in 2026?6 contenders · American odds
15-6−1471.6860%60¢
2<5+2083.0833%33¢
37-8+184219.425.1%5¢
49-10+466247.622.1%2¢
511-12+679768.971.5%1¢
6>16+10426105.260.9%1¢
When do two Starships first dock in orbit?2 contenders · American odds
1By December 31, 2027−1561.6461%61¢
2By December 31, 2026+7008.0013%13¢
The field — anyone not listed+2773.7727%27¢
Tech

How many SpaceX Starship launches reach space in 2026?

5-660%
<533%
7-85.1%
+3 more outcomes
$491k Vol.·Ends 31 Dec 2026

Human moon landing in 2026?

1.8%
$2.0m Vol.·Ends 31 Dec 2026
Tech

When do two Starships first dock in orbit?

By December 31, 202761%
By December 31, 202613%
$59k Vol.·Ends 31 Dec 2028

Photography: Politics by Gage Skidmore, CC BY-SA 3.0 · Sports by FightingRaven531, CC BY 3.0 · World by Mojnsen, CC BY-SA 4.0 · Lula da Silva by Palácio do Planalto, CC BY 2.0 · Flávio Bolsonaro by Agência Senado, Attribution · Ronaldo Caiado by Senado Federal, Attribution · Renan Santos by Joao.maestro2023, CC BY-SA 4.0. Remaining plates are public domain (US federal works) or generated.