Who wins the 2026 Ballon d'Or?58%+3.5Who wins the 2026 World Series?8.8%+2.8Avengers: Doomsday breaks opening record?18%+2.4Spider-Man: Brand New Day hits $2B worldwide?55%+1.8Fed hikes rates at September FOMC?55%+1.5Ethereum tops $2,500 before 2027?35%-1.4GOP holds Senate majority in 2026?56%-1.2Who wins the 2027 NBA Finals?9.1%+1.22026 Atlantic season: 10+ named storms?32%-1.2Mayweather–Pacquiao 2 happens by Sept 20?52%-1.0Democrats retake the House in 2026?86%+0.8Bitcoin hits $100K before 2027?10%+0.8Who wins the 2026 Ballon d'Or?58%+3.5Who wins the 2026 World Series?8.8%+2.8Avengers: Doomsday breaks opening record?18%+2.4Spider-Man: Brand New Day hits $2B worldwide?55%+1.8Fed hikes rates at September FOMC?55%+1.5Ethereum tops $2,500 before 2027?35%-1.4GOP holds Senate majority in 2026?56%-1.2Who wins the 2027 NBA Finals?9.1%+1.22026 Atlantic season: 10+ named storms?32%-1.2Mayweather–Pacquiao 2 happens by Sept 20?52%-1.0Democrats retake the House in 2026?86%+0.8Bitcoin hits $100K before 2027?10%+0.8
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Who has the top AI model at year end?5 contenders · American odds
1
Anthropic−24571%2
OpenAI+80911%3
Google+11508.0%4
DeepSeek+21224.5%5
xAI+24004.0%
Anthropic−24571%2OpenAI+80911%3Google+11508.0%4DeepSeek+21224.5%5xAI+24004.0%The field — anyone not listed+656766.671.5%2¢
How many SpaceX Starship launches reach space in 2026?6 contenders · American odds
When do two Starships first dock in orbit?2 contenders · American odds
Photography: Politics by Gage Skidmore, CC BY-SA 3.0 · Sports by FightingRaven531, CC BY 3.0 · World by Mojnsen, CC BY-SA 4.0 · Lula da Silva by Palácio do Planalto, CC BY 2.0 · Flávio Bolsonaro by Agência Senado, Attribution · Ronaldo Caiado by Senado Federal, Attribution · Renan Santos by Joao.maestro2023, CC BY-SA 4.0. Remaining plates are public domain (US federal works) or generated.