Markets
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?
Live · simulated$8.0m Vol. Ends 31 Aug 2026 Consensus of credible shipping-industry and news reporting (e.g. Reuters, Lloyd's List, tanker-tracking data).Politics geopolitics conflictGeopolitical flashpoints
16%
Yes probability
PriceContracts
22¢4,562
21¢5,570
20¢2,938
19¢7,620
18¢6,686
17¢4,661
Spread 2¢
15¢12,022
14¢11,222
13¢8,153
12¢1,479
11¢7,556
10¢3,791
$
Avg price17.0¢
Contracts147.1
Taker fee · debited at fill$1.45
To win$147.06
Balance after$973.55
Simulated fill — no funds move. Contracts redeem at $1.00 if correct.
Operator · simulate outcome
Post a result to the engine. The winning contract settles at $1.00, the rest at $0.00, the complete sets backing this market are burned and the collateral they locked is released.