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Who wins the 2026 Ballon d'Or?58%+3.5·Who wins the 2026 World Series?8.8%+2.8·Avengers: Doomsday breaks opening record?18%+2.4·Spider-Man: Brand New Day hits $2B worldwide?55%+1.8·Fed hikes rates at September FOMC?55%+1.5·Ethereum tops $2,500 before 2027?35%-1.4·GOP holds Senate majority in 2026?56%-1.2·Who wins the 2027 NBA Finals?9.1%+1.2·2026 Atlantic season: 10+ named storms?32%-1.2·Mayweather–Pacquiao 2 happens by Sept 20?52%-1.0·Democrats retake the House in 2026?86%+0.8·Bitcoin hits $100K before 2027?10%+0.8·Who wins the 2026 Ballon d'Or?58%+3.5·Who wins the 2026 World Series?8.8%+2.8·Avengers: Doomsday breaks opening record?18%+2.4·Spider-Man: Brand New Day hits $2B worldwide?55%+1.8·Fed hikes rates at September FOMC?55%+1.5·Ethereum tops $2,500 before 2027?35%-1.4·GOP holds Senate majority in 2026?56%-1.2·Who wins the 2027 NBA Finals?9.1%+1.2·2026 Atlantic season: 10+ named storms?32%-1.2·Mayweather–Pacquiao 2 happens by Sept 20?52%-1.0·Democrats retake the House in 2026?86%+0.8·Bitcoin hits $100K before 2027?10%+0.8·
conflictFiltering by tag
Politics

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

3.9%
$39m Vol.·Ends 31 Dec 2026
Politics

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

16%
$57m Vol.·Ends 31 Dec 2026
Politics

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?

16%
$8.0m Vol.·Ends 31 Aug 2026
World

When is a Russia–Ukraine ceasefire agreed?

By Dec 31, 202635%
By Oct 31, 202615%
By Aug 31, 20263.5%
$5.8m Vol.·Ends 31 Dec 2026
World

Israel-Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by December 31, 2026?

56%
$2.9m Vol.·Ends 31 Dec 2026

Photography: Politics by Gage Skidmore, CC BY-SA 3.0 · Sports by FightingRaven531, CC BY 3.0 · World by Mojnsen, CC BY-SA 4.0 · Lula da Silva by Palácio do Planalto, CC BY 2.0 · Flávio Bolsonaro by Agência Senado, Attribution · Ronaldo Caiado by Senado Federal, Attribution · Renan Santos by Joao.maestro2023, CC BY-SA 4.0. Remaining plates are public domain (US federal works) or generated.